Abstract: Procedures were developed to predict the probability distribution of notch strength of ceramics from the flexural strength of ceramics based on our recent research^[1].
It is shown that the notch strength of ceramics follows the normal distribution, the log-normal distribution and Weibull distribution, and all of the above distributions
can be predicted. The predicted results of three probability distributions of notch strength of ceramics mentioned above are in good agreement with test results. The possibility
of predicting the probability distribution of notch strength of ceramics is of practical importance in the design and the reliability assessment of ceramic structure elements.

Key words: ceramics, notch strength, probability distribution, prediction